Active monsoon conditions, including expected thundery showers and extensive cloud cover over Lucknow on August 16, represent the primary driver keeping trader consensus tightly split between 31°C (37.5%) and 32°C (35.5%). Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models such as those referenced by BBC and AccuWeather indicate maximum temperatures of 30–32°C, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit daytime heating below typical August climatological highs near 32–33°C. Recent observations showing similar suppression support this range, while lower-probability outcomes above 33°C would require clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break. Key upcoming factors include the next IMD daily bulletin and any revisions to steering winds or rainfall totals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 16?
31°C 38%
32°C 36%
33°C 15%
30°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
38%
32°C
36%
33°C
15%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 36%
33°C 15%
30°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
38%
32°C
36%
33°C
15%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active monsoon conditions, including expected thundery showers and extensive cloud cover over Lucknow on August 16, represent the primary driver keeping trader consensus tightly split between 31°C (37.5%) and 32°C (35.5%). Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models such as those referenced by BBC and AccuWeather indicate maximum temperatures of 30–32°C, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit daytime heating below typical August climatological highs near 32–33°C. Recent observations showing similar suppression support this range, while lower-probability outcomes above 33°C would require clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break. Key upcoming factors include the next IMD daily bulletin and any revisions to steering winds or rainfall totals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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