Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers across Lucknow on August 23, 2026, suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. Monsoon dynamics, including increased cloud cover and moisture, align with typical August climatology of 31–32°C highs while reducing the odds of 33°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance shows lower daytime heating compared to clearer periods earlier in the month, with 30–32°C outcomes capturing over 85% of trader consensus. New IMD extended-range updates and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will refine landfall timing and rainfall intensity, directly influencing resolution around these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 23?
31°C 44%
32°C 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
44%
32°C
27%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 44%
32°C 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
44%
32°C
27%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers across Lucknow on August 23, 2026, suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. Monsoon dynamics, including increased cloud cover and moisture, align with typical August climatology of 31–32°C highs while reducing the odds of 33°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance shows lower daytime heating compared to clearer periods earlier in the month, with 30–32°C outcomes capturing over 85% of trader consensus. New IMD extended-range updates and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will refine landfall timing and rainfall intensity, directly influencing resolution around these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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