Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, with heavy cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 7, is the main factor capping daytime highs and driving market-implied odds toward 30–31°C. Official IMD observations from recent days show maxima near or slightly below normal (around 30–32°C) amid ongoing rainfall, consistent with late-monsoon climatology where reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit peaks. Multiple model runs and short-range forecasts indicate 90%+ precipitation chances, which could further suppress the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh this evidence heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or above given the entrenched wet pattern. Updated IMD guidance and local observations on September 6–7 will provide the final resolution inputs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 7?
31°C 39%
30°C 29%
29°C 17%
28°C 11%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
17%
30°C
29%
31°C
39%
32°C
10%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
5%
31°C 39%
30°C 29%
29°C 17%
28°C 11%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
17%
30°C
29%
31°C
39%
32°C
10%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, with heavy cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 7, is the main factor capping daytime highs and driving market-implied odds toward 30–31°C. Official IMD observations from recent days show maxima near or slightly below normal (around 30–32°C) amid ongoing rainfall, consistent with late-monsoon climatology where reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit peaks. Multiple model runs and short-range forecasts indicate 90%+ precipitation chances, which could further suppress the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh this evidence heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or above given the entrenched wet pattern. Updated IMD guidance and local observations on September 6–7 will provide the final resolution inputs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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