Recent forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and international models indicate a high near 27 °C in Madrid on September 9, 2026, driven by northeast winds, partial morning cloud cover, and a 55 % rain probability that limits daytime heating. This places the market’s 69.5 % implied probability on 27 °C in line with observed model consensus, while cooler 26 °C and warmer 28 °C outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 26–28 °C provide context, but today’s northerly flow and modest insolation favor the central bin over extremes. Updated afternoon observations and final AEMET reports will determine resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on September 9?
27°C 71%
28°C 16%
26°C 12%
29°C 5%
$29,258 Vol.
$29,258 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
12%
27°C
71%
28°C
16%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 71%
28°C 16%
26°C 12%
29°C 5%
$29,258 Vol.
$29,258 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
12%
27°C
71%
28°C
16%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and international models indicate a high near 27 °C in Madrid on September 9, 2026, driven by northeast winds, partial morning cloud cover, and a 55 % rain probability that limits daytime heating. This places the market’s 69.5 % implied probability on 27 °C in line with observed model consensus, while cooler 26 °C and warmer 28 °C outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 26–28 °C provide context, but today’s northerly flow and modest insolation favor the central bin over extremes. Updated afternoon observations and final AEMET reports will determine resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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