Official temperature observations from New York City stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily minimum of 72–73°F, directly aligning with the market’s dominant outcome and driving near-certain trader consensus. This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 63°F for the date, consistent with above-normal warmth persisting into mid-September amid a broader seasonal pattern. Hourly data showed the minimum occurring in the early morning hours before daytime highs reached the upper 70s to low 80s under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect verified post-event data rather than forecast uncertainty, though rare late revisions to official National Weather Service records or station-specific resolution criteria could theoretically shift results.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in NYC on September 11?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 11?
72-73°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$7,604 Vol.
$7,604 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$7,604 Vol.
$7,604 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
61°F or below
$263 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$87 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$335 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$502 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,011 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$2,798 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,289 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$720 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$370 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$132 Vol.
No
80°F or higher
$97 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from New York City stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily minimum of 72–73°F, directly aligning with the market’s dominant outcome and driving near-certain trader consensus. This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 63°F for the date, consistent with above-normal warmth persisting into mid-September amid a broader seasonal pattern. Hourly data showed the minimum occurring in the early morning hours before daytime highs reached the upper 70s to low 80s under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect verified post-event data rather than forecast uncertainty, though rare late revisions to official National Weather Service records or station-specific resolution criteria could theoretically shift results.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$7,604Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from New York City stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily minimum of 72–73°F, directly aligning with the market’s dominant outcome and driving near-certain trader consensus. This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 63°F for the date, consistent with above-normal warmth persisting into mid-September amid a broader seasonal pattern. Hourly data showed the minimum occurring in the early morning hours before daytime highs reached the upper 70s to low 80s under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect verified post-event data rather than forecast uncertainty, though rare late revisions to official National Weather Service records or station-specific resolution criteria could theoretically shift results.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,604Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Official temperature observations from New York City stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily minimum of 72–73°F, directly aligning with the market’s dominant outcome and driving near-certain trader consensus. This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 63°F for the date, consistent with above-normal warmth persisting into mid-September amid a broader seasonal pattern. Hourly data showed the minimum occurring in the early morning hours before daytime highs reached the upper 70s to low 80s under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect verified post-event data rather than forecast uncertainty, though rare late revisions to official National Weather Service records or station-specific resolution criteria could theoretically shift results.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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