Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Moscow under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and no significant frontal activity on September 9, supporting a daytime maximum near 21°C. This aligns with the observed warming trend after cooler early-week conditions and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 17.7°C by several degrees. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 20–22°C, with minimal spread from model variability or local urban heat effects. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds places the strongest probability on 21°C, consistent with this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range typical for 24-hour temperature forecasts in the region. Updated official guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center is expected to refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
21°C 62%
20°C 20%
22°C 17%
19°C 3%
$10,261 Vol.
$10,261 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
20%
21°C
62%
22°C
17%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 62%
20°C 20%
22°C 17%
19°C 3%
$10,261 Vol.
$10,261 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
20%
21°C
62%
22°C
17%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Moscow under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and no significant frontal activity on September 9, supporting a daytime maximum near 21°C. This aligns with the observed warming trend after cooler early-week conditions and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 17.7°C by several degrees. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 20–22°C, with minimal spread from model variability or local urban heat effects. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds places the strongest probability on 21°C, consistent with this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range typical for 24-hour temperature forecasts in the region. Updated official guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center is expected to refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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