Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 33°C at a 100% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature on April 17, driven by official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG), the market's designated resolution source, which recorded a peak of 33°C under clear skies and light southeasterly winds. This aligns with April climatology in Panama City, Panama, where tropical conditions and Pacific influences typically yield highs of 31–33°C, supported by consistent hourly METAR reports showing steady daytime heating without convective interference. While airport automated surface observing systems (ASOS) provide high-confidence data, realistic challenges could arise from rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C. Final National Meteorological Service validation expected within 24–48 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Panama City on April 17?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$27,327 Vol.
$27,327 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$27,327 Vol.
$27,327 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 33°C at a 100% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature on April 17, driven by official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG), the market's designated resolution source, which recorded a peak of 33°C under clear skies and light southeasterly winds. This aligns with April climatology in Panama City, Panama, where tropical conditions and Pacific influences typically yield highs of 31–33°C, supported by consistent hourly METAR reports showing steady daytime heating without convective interference. While airport automated surface observing systems (ASOS) provide high-confidence data, realistic challenges could arise from rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C. Final National Meteorological Service validation expected within 24–48 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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