Recent cold fronts and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime highs in São Paulo to 17–18 °C on August 10–11, well below the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Forecast guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and INMET now indicates clearing skies and modest warming on the 12th as high pressure rebuilds, supporting a daytime maximum near 23–24 °C under light winds and reduced boundary-layer mixing. These conditions position 24 °C as the market leader at 39.5 % implied probability, with 23 °C and 25 °C capturing the next most likely outcomes. Model consensus shows limited upside beyond 26 °C without stronger subsidence or reduced marine influence, keeping higher bins below 6 % each. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
24°C 39%
23°C 24%
25°C 21%
22°C 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
39%
25°C
21%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
23°C 24%
25°C 21%
22°C 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
$81 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$35 Vol.
1%
21°C
$80 Vol.
3%
22°C
$199 Vol.
10%
23°C
$263 Vol.
24%
24°C
$1,424 Vol.
39%
25°C
$373 Vol.
21%
26°C
$236 Vol.
6%
27°C
$37 Vol.
2%
28°C
$149 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$2,661 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold fronts and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime highs in São Paulo to 17–18 °C on August 10–11, well below the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Forecast guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and INMET now indicates clearing skies and modest warming on the 12th as high pressure rebuilds, supporting a daytime maximum near 23–24 °C under light winds and reduced boundary-layer mixing. These conditions position 24 °C as the market leader at 39.5 % implied probability, with 23 °C and 25 °C capturing the next most likely outcomes. Model consensus shows limited upside beyond 26 °C without stronger subsidence or reduced marine influence, keeping higher bins below 6 % each. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,537Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold fronts and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime highs in São Paulo to 17–18 °C on August 10–11, well below the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Forecast guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and INMET now indicates clearing skies and modest warming on the 12th as high pressure rebuilds, supporting a daytime maximum near 23–24 °C under light winds and reduced boundary-layer mixing. These conditions position 24 °C as the market leader at 39.5 % implied probability, with 23 °C and 25 °C capturing the next most likely outcomes. Model consensus shows limited upside beyond 26 °C without stronger subsidence or reduced marine influence, keeping higher bins below 6 % each. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,537Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold fronts and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime highs in São Paulo to 17–18 °C on August 10–11, well below the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Forecast guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and INMET now indicates clearing skies and modest warming on the 12th as high pressure rebuilds, supporting a daytime maximum near 23–24 °C under light winds and reduced boundary-layer mixing. These conditions position 24 °C as the market leader at 39.5 % implied probability, with 23 °C and 25 °C capturing the next most likely outcomes. Model consensus shows limited upside beyond 26 °C without stronger subsidence or reduced marine influence, keeping higher bins below 6 % each. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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