Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models points to a maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15, aligning with trader emphasis on those bins. Typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions feature abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and modest sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating while allowing daytime boundary-layer warming to reach seasonal peaks. No major atmospheric shifts or heat-advection events have altered the outlook in recent model runs, keeping higher extremes near zero probability and lower thresholds at minimal odds. Small variations in mixing or insolation could still nudge the peak across the narrow 33–34°C threshold.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
33°C 74%
34°C 24%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
$19,651 Vol.
$19,651 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
74%
34°C
24%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 74%
34°C 24%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
$19,651 Vol.
$19,651 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
74%
34°C
24%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models points to a maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15, aligning with trader emphasis on those bins. Typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions feature abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and modest sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating while allowing daytime boundary-layer warming to reach seasonal peaks. No major atmospheric shifts or heat-advection events have altered the outlook in recent model runs, keeping higher extremes near zero probability and lower thresholds at minimal odds. Small variations in mixing or insolation could still nudge the peak across the narrow 33–34°C threshold.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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