Current forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, European models, and U.S. guidance project a Friday, August 28 high of 31–34 °C in Tel Aviv under persistent high pressure, light westerly flow, and mostly clear skies. This places the most probable outcomes at 32 °C or 33 °C, consistent with the market’s 27.5 % and 58.5 % implied probabilities. Late-August climatology shows typical daily maxima near 29–30 °C, but recent days have run 2–3 °C above normal amid a broader regional heat anomaly that models expect to ease only after the weekend. Updated runs through August 26 show tight clustering around 32 °C with limited upside risk to 34 °C and negligible downside below 31 °C absent unexpected cloud cover or stronger onshore flow.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 28?
33°C 59%
32°C 28%
34°C 12%
31°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
28%
33°C
59%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
32°C 28%
34°C 12%
31°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
28%
33°C
59%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, European models, and U.S. guidance project a Friday, August 28 high of 31–34 °C in Tel Aviv under persistent high pressure, light westerly flow, and mostly clear skies. This places the most probable outcomes at 32 °C or 33 °C, consistent with the market’s 27.5 % and 58.5 % implied probabilities. Late-August climatology shows typical daily maxima near 29–30 °C, but recent days have run 2–3 °C above normal amid a broader regional heat anomaly that models expect to ease only after the weekend. Updated runs through August 26 show tight clustering around 32 °C with limited upside risk to 34 °C and negligible downside below 31 °C absent unexpected cloud cover or stronger onshore flow.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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