Recent model consensus from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and local Israeli forecasts points to a peak of 31°C in Tel Aviv on August 30 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds of 10–15 km/h and surface pressures near 1007–1009 hPa. This setup favors typical late-summer maritime moderation rather than hot desert advection or strong subsidence that could push readings to 33°C or higher, while humidity around 45–55% and limited cloud cover prevent significant cooling below the 30°C threshold. Historical August maxima average near 32°C, but current runs show tight clustering around 31°C with low ensemble spread. Trader positioning at 82% implied probability for 31°C and 17.5% for 32°C reflects this stable, evidence-based outlook ahead of final observational confirmation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30?
31°C 82%
32°C 19%
30°C 2%
27°C or below <1%
$11,107 Vol.
$11,107 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
82%
32°C
19%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 82%
32°C 19%
30°C 2%
27°C or below <1%
$11,107 Vol.
$11,107 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
82%
32°C
19%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and local Israeli forecasts points to a peak of 31°C in Tel Aviv on August 30 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds of 10–15 km/h and surface pressures near 1007–1009 hPa. This setup favors typical late-summer maritime moderation rather than hot desert advection or strong subsidence that could push readings to 33°C or higher, while humidity around 45–55% and limited cloud cover prevent significant cooling below the 30°C threshold. Historical August maxima average near 32°C, but current runs show tight clustering around 31°C with low ensemble spread. Trader positioning at 82% implied probability for 31°C and 17.5% for 32°C reflects this stable, evidence-based outlook ahead of final observational confirmation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong