Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to clear skies, light southerly or southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover positioning Madrid for a daytime peak near 30°C on August 29. These conditions favor strong solar heating without significant moisture or frontal influences, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C (62.5% implied probability) over 30°C (30%). Trader sentiment reflects the narrow spread between ensemble outputs and official station criteria, with low odds on 32°C+ underscoring limited upside potential from current atmospheric stability. Updated runs ahead of resolution will likely refine this narrow range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
31°C 63%
30°C 31%
32°C 6%
29°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
31%
31°C
63%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 63%
30°C 31%
32°C 6%
29°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$438 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$261 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$718 Vol.
3%
30°C
$1,913 Vol.
31%
31°C
$2,282 Vol.
63%
32°C
$575 Vol.
6%
33°C
$478 Vol.
2%
34°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$207 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to clear skies, light southerly or southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover positioning Madrid for a daytime peak near 30°C on August 29. These conditions favor strong solar heating without significant moisture or frontal influences, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C (62.5% implied probability) over 30°C (30%). Trader sentiment reflects the narrow spread between ensemble outputs and official station criteria, with low odds on 32°C+ underscoring limited upside potential from current atmospheric stability. Updated runs ahead of resolution will likely refine this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,596Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to clear skies, light southerly or southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover positioning Madrid for a daytime peak near 30°C on August 29. These conditions favor strong solar heating without significant moisture or frontal influences, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C (62.5% implied probability) over 30°C (30%). Trader sentiment reflects the narrow spread between ensemble outputs and official station criteria, with low odds on 32°C+ underscoring limited upside potential from current atmospheric stability. Updated runs ahead of resolution will likely refine this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,596Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to clear skies, light southerly or southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover positioning Madrid for a daytime peak near 30°C on August 29. These conditions favor strong solar heating without significant moisture or frontal influences, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C (62.5% implied probability) over 30°C (30%). Trader sentiment reflects the narrow spread between ensemble outputs and official station criteria, with low odds on 32°C+ underscoring limited upside potential from current atmospheric stability. Updated runs ahead of resolution will likely refine this narrow range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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