Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a high near 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 24 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds and stable high pressure. This aligns with late-September Mediterranean climatology, where daily maxima average 28–29°C and rarely exceed 32°C absent strong subtropical ridging. Trader emphasis on 30°C and 31°C reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance, with minimal model spread and no incoming heat advection or clear-sky intensification expected before the measurement window closes. Updated model outputs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward the upper tail.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 24?
30°C 59%
31°C 37%
32°C 7%
33°C 5%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
59%
31°C
37%
32°C
7%
33°C
5%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 59%
31°C 37%
32°C 7%
33°C 5%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
59%
31°C
37%
32°C
7%
33°C
5%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a high near 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 24 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds and stable high pressure. This aligns with late-September Mediterranean climatology, where daily maxima average 28–29°C and rarely exceed 32°C absent strong subtropical ridging. Trader emphasis on 30°C and 31°C reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance, with minimal model spread and no incoming heat advection or clear-sky intensification expected before the measurement window closes. Updated model outputs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward the upper tail.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong