Recent forecast model runs for Tel Aviv indicate overnight minimum temperatures on September 24 near 22–24°C, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover reducing radiative cooling, and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 28°C moderating the coastal boundary layer. These conditions align with climatological September norms of roughly 22°C lows but leave room for variance from slight shifts in wind speed or timing of any residual moisture. Trader consensus splitting near 48% on 19°C or below versus 47% on 29°C or higher reflects model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the narrow resolution thresholds for exact station measurements, with specific values clustered around 23–25°C each holding about 20–26% implied odds. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 24?
29°C or higher 90%
19°C or below 76%
26°C 35%
23°C 33%
19°C or below
76%
20°C
30%
21°C
30%
22°C
31%
23°C
33%
24°C
28%
25°C
20%
26°C
35%
27°C
30%
28°C
30%
29°C or higher
90%
29°C or higher 90%
19°C or below 76%
26°C 35%
23°C 33%
19°C or below
76%
20°C
30%
21°C
30%
22°C
31%
23°C
33%
24°C
28%
25°C
20%
26°C
35%
27°C
30%
28°C
30%
29°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Tel Aviv indicate overnight minimum temperatures on September 24 near 22–24°C, driven by moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover reducing radiative cooling, and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 28°C moderating the coastal boundary layer. These conditions align with climatological September norms of roughly 22°C lows but leave room for variance from slight shifts in wind speed or timing of any residual moisture. Trader consensus splitting near 48% on 19°C or below versus 47% on 29°C or higher reflects model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the narrow resolution thresholds for exact station measurements, with specific values clustered around 23–25°C each holding about 20–26% implied odds. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong