Recent ensemble forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a northwest airstream advecting milder air over Wellington on September 4, with projected highs centered in the 15–18°C range amid early-spring conditions. Observed maxima the prior two days reached 15–16°C, slightly above long-term September averages near 13–14°C, reinforcing market-implied odds that cluster on 18°C and 17°C. Strong winds and a chance of showers add local variability at the recording station, while the proximity to resolution limits upside potential beyond 19°C. Overnight model updates will provide the next key data point for refining these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
18°C 56%
17°C 35%
19°C 7%
16°C 5%
BAGO
$11,888 Vol.
BAGO
$11,888 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
35%
18°C
56%
19°C
7%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 56%
17°C 35%
19°C 7%
16°C 5%
BAGO
$11,888 Vol.
BAGO
$11,888 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
$399 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$652 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,084 Vol.
2%
16°C
$1,712 Vol.
5%
17°C
$794 Vol.
35%
18°C
$4,881 Vol.
56%
19°C
$1,136 Vol.
7%
20°C
$407 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$123 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$299 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a northwest airstream advecting milder air over Wellington on September 4, with projected highs centered in the 15–18°C range amid early-spring conditions. Observed maxima the prior two days reached 15–16°C, slightly above long-term September averages near 13–14°C, reinforcing market-implied odds that cluster on 18°C and 17°C. Strong winds and a chance of showers add local variability at the recording station, while the proximity to resolution limits upside potential beyond 19°C. Overnight model updates will provide the next key data point for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,888Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a northwest airstream advecting milder air over Wellington on September 4, with projected highs centered in the 15–18°C range amid early-spring conditions. Observed maxima the prior two days reached 15–16°C, slightly above long-term September averages near 13–14°C, reinforcing market-implied odds that cluster on 18°C and 17°C. Strong winds and a chance of showers add local variability at the recording station, while the proximity to resolution limits upside potential beyond 19°C. Overnight model updates will provide the next key data point for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,888Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a northwest airstream advecting milder air over Wellington on September 4, with projected highs centered in the 15–18°C range amid early-spring conditions. Observed maxima the prior two days reached 15–16°C, slightly above long-term September averages near 13–14°C, reinforcing market-implied odds that cluster on 18°C and 17°C. Strong winds and a chance of showers add local variability at the recording station, while the proximity to resolution limits upside potential beyond 19°C. Overnight model updates will provide the next key data point for refining these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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