**Forecast models from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources project a nighttime minimum of 9–11°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under light easterly winds and partly cloudy skies, following recent stabilization after earlier rainfall.** This places the expected low near the middle of the clustered 4–10°C outcomes that together hold roughly 75% of market-implied probability. Radiative cooling overnight is moderated by dew points near 7–9°C and minimal cloud cover, limiting further drops, while historical August minima average around 7°C. Traders appear to assign elevated weight (35.5%) to the 2°C-or-below bucket due to lingering model spread and the possibility of localized cold-air drainage or clearer-sky intensification, even as current observations and consensus guidance favor milder readings. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by the Buenos Aires weather station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
2°C or below 36%
4°C 27%
5°C 27%
6°C 27%
2°C or below
36%
3°C
26%
4°C
27%
5°C
27%
6°C
27%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
8%
12°C or higher
1%
2°C or below 36%
4°C 27%
5°C 27%
6°C 27%
2°C or below
36%
3°C
26%
4°C
27%
5°C
27%
6°C
27%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
8%
12°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources project a nighttime minimum of 9–11°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under light easterly winds and partly cloudy skies, following recent stabilization after earlier rainfall.** This places the expected low near the middle of the clustered 4–10°C outcomes that together hold roughly 75% of market-implied probability. Radiative cooling overnight is moderated by dew points near 7–9°C and minimal cloud cover, limiting further drops, while historical August minima average around 7°C. Traders appear to assign elevated weight (35.5%) to the 2°C-or-below bucket due to lingering model spread and the possibility of localized cold-air drainage or clearer-sky intensification, even as current observations and consensus guidance favor milder readings. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by the Buenos Aires weather station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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