Warm southerly flow ahead of a strengthening ridge and associated warm front is advecting humid air into the Chicago area, while extensive cloud cover and light showers limit overnight radiational cooling. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 70s on August 30, consistent with trader emphasis on the 70–73 °F bins. Breezy southwest winds of 10–20 mph further suppress the diurnal range, aligning with historical analogs for late-August warm advection events. Updated short-range model runs through the overnight period remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in these tightly bunched probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
72-73°F 39%
82°F or higher 34%
70-71°F 32%
66-67°F 26%
63°F or below
5%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
34%
72-73°F 39%
82°F or higher 34%
70-71°F 32%
66-67°F 26%
63°F or below
5%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
34%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Warm southerly flow ahead of a strengthening ridge and associated warm front is advecting humid air into the Chicago area, while extensive cloud cover and light showers limit overnight radiational cooling. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 70s on August 30, consistent with trader emphasis on the 70–73 °F bins. Breezy southwest winds of 10–20 mph further suppress the diurnal range, aligning with historical analogs for late-August warm advection events. Updated short-range model runs through the overnight period remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in these tightly bunched probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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