Numerical weather prediction models from agencies like NOAA are driving the closely matched odds around 59–65°F for Denver’s low on August 30, reflecting a late-August cooldown at the city’s mile-high elevation. Clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling overnight are key factors favoring the lower bins, while any residual moisture or urban heat effects could push readings into the mid-60s. Ensemble spreads highlight typical forecast uncertainty this close to verification, with traders weighting recent model runs that show temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals of around 60°F. Updated guidance expected later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Denver on August 30?
62-63°F 38%
60-61°F 37%
64-65°F 31%
66-67°F 24%
59°F or below
20%
60-61°F
37%
62-63°F
38%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
7%
78°F or higher
1%
62-63°F 38%
60-61°F 37%
64-65°F 31%
66-67°F 24%
59°F or below
20%
60-61°F
37%
62-63°F
38%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
7%
78°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Numerical weather prediction models from agencies like NOAA are driving the closely matched odds around 59–65°F for Denver’s low on August 30, reflecting a late-August cooldown at the city’s mile-high elevation. Clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling overnight are key factors favoring the lower bins, while any residual moisture or urban heat effects could push readings into the mid-60s. Ensemble spreads highlight typical forecast uncertainty this close to verification, with traders weighting recent model runs that show temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals of around 60°F. Updated guidance expected later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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