Current forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office place the minimum temperature in Helsinki on August 23 near 11–12 °C under a pattern of moderate northwesterly flow, cloud cover, and light rain that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads and climatological late-August cooling trends support a non-negligible tail risk of readings at or below 9 °C if winds slacken or clearer intervals develop, driving the 43.5 % market-implied probability for that bin. Higher-temperature outcomes cluster near 19 % because recent model runs show limited upside beyond 13–15 °C given the expected air mass. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations released in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points shifting these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 23?
9°C or below 44%
16°C 25%
12°C 19%
13°C 19%
9°C or below
44%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
25%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 44%
16°C 25%
12°C 19%
13°C 19%
9°C or below
44%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
25%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office place the minimum temperature in Helsinki on August 23 near 11–12 °C under a pattern of moderate northwesterly flow, cloud cover, and light rain that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads and climatological late-August cooling trends support a non-negligible tail risk of readings at or below 9 °C if winds slacken or clearer intervals develop, driving the 43.5 % market-implied probability for that bin. Higher-temperature outcomes cluster near 19 % because recent model runs show limited upside beyond 13–15 °C given the expected air mass. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations released in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points shifting these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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