**Forecast consensus from authoritative sources, including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, points to an overnight minimum near 15°C for Helsinki on August 29, 2026.** This aligns with the market’s dominant 71.5% implied probability for 15°C, as multiple models show temperatures falling from afternoon highs of 18–20°C to a nighttime low in the 14–16°C range under cloudy skies, moderate southeast winds (6–8 m/s), and elevated dew points near 13–14°C that limit radiational cooling. Cloud cover and wind have prevented stronger drops, keeping conditions milder than the long-term average low of ~12°C for the date. Recent model runs show no major revisions in the past 24 hours, with limited disagreement among ensembles and no incoming cold air mass or clear-sky window to push the minimum lower. Traders are therefore pricing the outcome tightly around the expected 15°C threshold, with only marginal probabilities assigned to 14°C or below given current atmospheric conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 29?
14°C 3%
13°C <1%
12°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$1,329 Vol.
$1,329 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
73%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 3%
13°C <1%
12°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$1,329 Vol.
$1,329 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
73%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from authoritative sources, including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, points to an overnight minimum near 15°C for Helsinki on August 29, 2026.** This aligns with the market’s dominant 71.5% implied probability for 15°C, as multiple models show temperatures falling from afternoon highs of 18–20°C to a nighttime low in the 14–16°C range under cloudy skies, moderate southeast winds (6–8 m/s), and elevated dew points near 13–14°C that limit radiational cooling. Cloud cover and wind have prevented stronger drops, keeping conditions milder than the long-term average low of ~12°C for the date. Recent model runs show no major revisions in the past 24 hours, with limited disagreement among ensembles and no incoming cold air mass or clear-sky window to push the minimum lower. Traders are therefore pricing the outcome tightly around the expected 15°C threshold, with only marginal probabilities assigned to 14°C or below given current atmospheric conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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