Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum of 28°C overnight into August 16 under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with seasonal monsoon flow that limited radiative cooling. This outcome reflects the typical August climatology of 26–28°C lows in the region, where high humidity and cloud cover prevent sharper drops. Trader consensus at near-100% for 28°C draws from real-time alignment between forecast guidance and post-event station data, with the wisdom of crowds reinforced by capital at risk. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or measurement discrepancy at the headquarters station, though such shifts remain rare given established verification protocols.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$27,925 Vol.
$27,925 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$27,925 Vol.
$27,925 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum of 28°C overnight into August 16 under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with seasonal monsoon flow that limited radiative cooling. This outcome reflects the typical August climatology of 26–28°C lows in the region, where high humidity and cloud cover prevent sharper drops. Trader consensus at near-100% for 28°C draws from real-time alignment between forecast guidance and post-event station data, with the wisdom of crowds reinforced by capital at risk. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or measurement discrepancy at the headquarters station, though such shifts remain rare given established verification protocols.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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