**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 31, 2026, reflecting official observational data and late-summer climatology.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers associated with a broad trough and tropical moisture maintained overnight radiative cooling at modest levels, preventing the mercury from falling below 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. This aligns with typical August minima near 26–27°C under similar disturbed conditions, where enhanced mixing and latent heat release from rain suppress sharp nocturnal drops. Real-time station readings and model consensus corroborated this range throughout the day, producing near-certainty among traders with capital at risk. A realistic challenge would require an unreported localized dip to 24°C at the primary reference station—possible only under clearer skies or revised HKO quality control—but current evidence from multiple automated sites shows no such deviation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,002 Vol.
$23,002 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,002 Vol.
$23,002 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
$298 Vol.
No
22°C
$298 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,277 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,482 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,304 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,042 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$4,875 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,379 Vol.
No
29°C
$420 Vol.
No
30°C
$298 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$331 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 31, 2026, reflecting official observational data and late-summer climatology.**
Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers associated with a broad trough and tropical moisture maintained overnight radiative cooling at modest levels, preventing the mercury from falling below 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. This aligns with typical August minima near 26–27°C under similar disturbed conditions, where enhanced mixing and latent heat release from rain suppress sharp nocturnal drops. Real-time station readings and model consensus corroborated this range throughout the day, producing near-certainty among traders with capital at risk.
A realistic challenge would require an unreported localized dip to 24°C at the primary reference station—possible only under clearer skies or revised HKO quality control—but current evidence from multiple automated sites shows no such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$23,002Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 31, 2026, reflecting official observational data and late-summer climatology.**
Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers associated with a broad trough and tropical moisture maintained overnight radiative cooling at modest levels, preventing the mercury from falling below 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. This aligns with typical August minima near 26–27°C under similar disturbed conditions, where enhanced mixing and latent heat release from rain suppress sharp nocturnal drops. Real-time station readings and model consensus corroborated this range throughout the day, producing near-certainty among traders with capital at risk.
A realistic challenge would require an unreported localized dip to 24°C at the primary reference station—possible only under clearer skies or revised HKO quality control—but current evidence from multiple automated sites shows no such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$23,002Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 31, 2026, reflecting official observational data and late-summer climatology.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers associated with a broad trough and tropical moisture maintained overnight radiative cooling at modest levels, preventing the mercury from falling below 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. This aligns with typical August minima near 26–27°C under similar disturbed conditions, where enhanced mixing and latent heat release from rain suppress sharp nocturnal drops. Real-time station readings and model consensus corroborated this range throughout the day, producing near-certainty among traders with capital at risk. A realistic challenge would require an unreported localized dip to 24°C at the primary reference station—possible only under clearer skies or revised HKO quality control—but current evidence from multiple automated sites shows no such deviation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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