Traders see closely matched odds across 24–28°C for Karachi’s lowest temperature on August 27 because short-range model guidance shows high uncertainty in overnight cooling. The city’s coastal location on the Arabian Sea, combined with lingering monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, limits radiative cooling and keeps minimums sensitive to small changes in wind direction and humidity. Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlight a broad range of possible outcomes depending on whether a weak low-pressure area strengthens or steers drier air inland. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 26°C, but daily model runs can shift projected minima by 2–3°C with each update, sustaining the tight spread in market-implied probabilities until the final observational data are released.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Karachi on August 27?
24°C 46%
25°C 46%
29°C 46%
27°C 27%
22°C or below
10%
23°C
19%
24°C
46%
25°C
46%
26°C
24%
27°C
27%
28°C
23%
29°C
46%
30°C
19%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
15%
24°C 46%
25°C 46%
29°C 46%
27°C 27%
22°C or below
10%
23°C
19%
24°C
46%
25°C
46%
26°C
24%
27°C
27%
28°C
23%
29°C
46%
30°C
19%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched odds across 24–28°C for Karachi’s lowest temperature on August 27 because short-range model guidance shows high uncertainty in overnight cooling. The city’s coastal location on the Arabian Sea, combined with lingering monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, limits radiative cooling and keeps minimums sensitive to small changes in wind direction and humidity. Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlight a broad range of possible outcomes depending on whether a weak low-pressure area strengthens or steers drier air inland. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 26°C, but daily model runs can shift projected minima by 2–3°C with each update, sustaining the tight spread in market-implied probabilities until the final observational data are released.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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