Recent Met Office and AccuWeather forecasts for London on August 21, 2026, indicate overnight minima near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, aligning with the market’s strong 80.5 % implied probability for a 14 °C low. Typical late-summer climatology features average August lows of 14 °C, while current model consensus shows limited radiative cooling due to residual cloud cover and a stable high-pressure influence suppressing deeper drops. Shorter-range guidance has not signaled any sharp cold-air advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that would favor 12 °C or below, keeping lower-probability outcomes at 0.1–3.5 %. Updated evening observations and final hourly readings will determine resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on August 21?
14°C 93%
13°C 6%
12°C <1%
10°C <1%
$12,230 Vol.
$12,230 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
6%
14°C
93%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 93%
13°C 6%
12°C <1%
10°C <1%
$12,230 Vol.
$12,230 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
6%
14°C
93%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and AccuWeather forecasts for London on August 21, 2026, indicate overnight minima near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, aligning with the market’s strong 80.5 % implied probability for a 14 °C low. Typical late-summer climatology features average August lows of 14 °C, while current model consensus shows limited radiative cooling due to residual cloud cover and a stable high-pressure influence suppressing deeper drops. Shorter-range guidance has not signaled any sharp cold-air advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that would favor 12 °C or below, keeping lower-probability outcomes at 0.1–3.5 %. Updated evening observations and final hourly readings will determine resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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