**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Manila on September 15, 2026, amid the southwest monsoon and scattered thunderstorms, creating tight market odds around 22–27°C.** High humidity (often 80–95%) and frequent cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply, while light winds and urban heat effects in Metro Manila further moderate extremes. Recent model runs show consistency in daytime highs near 30–32°C but greater spread in the precise overnight minimum due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, which can enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat. Historical September baselines (24–26°C lows) align with current guidance from agencies like PAGASA, yet localized showers or clearer intervals overnight could shift the recorded low by 1–3°C, explaining the near-even trader positioning on 22°C versus 25–27°C outcomes. Updated evening observations and final daily reports will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Manila on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 15?
21°C or below 82%
22°C 82%
25°C 45%
27°C 45%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
82%
22°C
82%
23°C
12%
24°C
44%
25°C
45%
26°C
43%
27°C
45%
28°C
43%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 82%
22°C 82%
25°C 45%
27°C 45%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
$10 Vol.
82%
22°C
$10 Vol.
82%
23°C
$82 Vol.
12%
24°C
$12 Vol.
44%
25°C
$2 Vol.
45%
26°C
$2 Vol.
43%
27°C
$2 Vol.
45%
28°C
$2 Vol.
43%
29°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$32 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Manila on September 15, 2026, amid the southwest monsoon and scattered thunderstorms, creating tight market odds around 22–27°C.** High humidity (often 80–95%) and frequent cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply, while light winds and urban heat effects in Metro Manila further moderate extremes. Recent model runs show consistency in daytime highs near 30–32°C but greater spread in the precise overnight minimum due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, which can enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat. Historical September baselines (24–26°C lows) align with current guidance from agencies like PAGASA, yet localized showers or clearer intervals overnight could shift the recorded low by 1–3°C, explaining the near-even trader positioning on 22°C versus 25–27°C outcomes. Updated evening observations and final daily reports will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$188Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Manila on September 15, 2026, amid the southwest monsoon and scattered thunderstorms, creating tight market odds around 22–27°C.** High humidity (often 80–95%) and frequent cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply, while light winds and urban heat effects in Metro Manila further moderate extremes. Recent model runs show consistency in daytime highs near 30–32°C but greater spread in the precise overnight minimum due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, which can enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat. Historical September baselines (24–26°C lows) align with current guidance from agencies like PAGASA, yet localized showers or clearer intervals overnight could shift the recorded low by 1–3°C, explaining the near-even trader positioning on 22°C versus 25–27°C outcomes. Updated evening observations and final daily reports will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$188Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Manila on September 15, 2026, amid the southwest monsoon and scattered thunderstorms, creating tight market odds around 22–27°C.** High humidity (often 80–95%) and frequent cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply, while light winds and urban heat effects in Metro Manila further moderate extremes. Recent model runs show consistency in daytime highs near 30–32°C but greater spread in the precise overnight minimum due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, which can enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat. Historical September baselines (24–26°C lows) align with current guidance from agencies like PAGASA, yet localized showers or clearer intervals overnight could shift the recorded low by 1–3°C, explaining the near-even trader positioning on 22°C versus 25–27°C outcomes. Updated evening observations and final daily reports will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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