Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C or 26°C high in Mexico City on September 16, reflecting mid-September climatology for the high-altitude basin where seasonal averages sit near 24°C during the waning rainy season. Current National Meteorological Service guidance and global model consensus point to stable atmospheric conditions with afternoon highs in the mid-20s, driven by typical convection, cloud cover, and lack of strong subsidence or heat advection. Recent surface observations confirm no significant warm anomaly, keeping probabilities aligned with historical September maxima distributions. Key resolution criteria hinge on the official maximum at the central observatory, with limited upside risk from any late-day clearing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 16?
25°C 48%
26°C 36%
27°C or higher 11%
24°C 8%
BAGO
$14,153 Vol.
BAGO
$14,153 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
48%
26°C
36%
27°C or higher
11%
25°C 48%
26°C 36%
27°C or higher 11%
24°C 8%
BAGO
$14,153 Vol.
BAGO
$14,153 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
17°C or below
$538 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$303 Vol.
1%
23°C
$449 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,691 Vol.
8%
25°C
$4,402 Vol.
48%
26°C
$3,764 Vol.
36%
27°C or higher
$1,673 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C or 26°C high in Mexico City on September 16, reflecting mid-September climatology for the high-altitude basin where seasonal averages sit near 24°C during the waning rainy season. Current National Meteorological Service guidance and global model consensus point to stable atmospheric conditions with afternoon highs in the mid-20s, driven by typical convection, cloud cover, and lack of strong subsidence or heat advection. Recent surface observations confirm no significant warm anomaly, keeping probabilities aligned with historical September maxima distributions. Key resolution criteria hinge on the official maximum at the central observatory, with limited upside risk from any late-day clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,153Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C or 26°C high in Mexico City on September 16, reflecting mid-September climatology for the high-altitude basin where seasonal averages sit near 24°C during the waning rainy season. Current National Meteorological Service guidance and global model consensus point to stable atmospheric conditions with afternoon highs in the mid-20s, driven by typical convection, cloud cover, and lack of strong subsidence or heat advection. Recent surface observations confirm no significant warm anomaly, keeping probabilities aligned with historical September maxima distributions. Key resolution criteria hinge on the official maximum at the central observatory, with limited upside risk from any late-day clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,153Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C or 26°C high in Mexico City on September 16, reflecting mid-September climatology for the high-altitude basin where seasonal averages sit near 24°C during the waning rainy season. Current National Meteorological Service guidance and global model consensus point to stable atmospheric conditions with afternoon highs in the mid-20s, driven by typical convection, cloud cover, and lack of strong subsidence or heat advection. Recent surface observations confirm no significant warm anomaly, keeping probabilities aligned with historical September maxima distributions. Key resolution criteria hinge on the official maximum at the central observatory, with limited upside risk from any late-day clearing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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