Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 24 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms tied to the southwest monsoon. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling, elevating minimum temperatures above typical dry-season baselines. Recent heavy rain advisories across Metro Manila have reinforced this pattern by sustaining moisture and suppressing clear-sky drops. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated probabilities for 25–26°C outcomes, aligns with model consensus on minimal cooling, though variable storm timing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C depending on wind shifts or clearer intervals before dawn.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Manila on September 24?
21°C or below 43%
31°C or higher 42%
23°C 39%
28°C 39%
21°C or below
43%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
37%
25°C
23%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
39%
29°C
15%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
42%
21°C or below 43%
31°C or higher 42%
23°C 39%
28°C 39%
21°C or below
43%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
37%
25°C
23%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
39%
29°C
15%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 24 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms tied to the southwest monsoon. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling, elevating minimum temperatures above typical dry-season baselines. Recent heavy rain advisories across Metro Manila have reinforced this pattern by sustaining moisture and suppressing clear-sky drops. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated probabilities for 25–26°C outcomes, aligns with model consensus on minimal cooling, though variable storm timing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C depending on wind shifts or clearer intervals before dawn.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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