Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity from the southwest monsoon are holding overnight temperatures in Manila near seasonal norms, with official forecasts pointing to a daily minimum of 24–25 °C. Light-to-moderate winds and near-continuous low-level cloud have limited radiative cooling, keeping the mercury from falling to the 23 °C level that would require clearer skies and drier air. Model consensus shows only modest variability in the timing of heaviest rain, which explains why market-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered around 23–25 °C. Updated guidance from regional numerical weather prediction runs and any late-day clearing will be the key variables that could shift the final recorded low before midnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Manila on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 8?
25°C 96.5%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
21°C or below <1%
$4,260 Vol.
$4,260 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 96.5%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
21°C or below <1%
$4,260 Vol.
$4,260 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
21°C or below
$1,245 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,355 Vol.
No
23°C
$166 Vol.
No
24°C
$20 Vol.
No
25°C
$132 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$292 Vol.
No
27°C
$50 Vol.
No
28°C
$50 Vol.
No
29°C
$60 Vol.
No
30°C
$820 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$70 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity from the southwest monsoon are holding overnight temperatures in Manila near seasonal norms, with official forecasts pointing to a daily minimum of 24–25 °C. Light-to-moderate winds and near-continuous low-level cloud have limited radiative cooling, keeping the mercury from falling to the 23 °C level that would require clearer skies and drier air. Model consensus shows only modest variability in the timing of heaviest rain, which explains why market-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered around 23–25 °C. Updated guidance from regional numerical weather prediction runs and any late-day clearing will be the key variables that could shift the final recorded low before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$4,260Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity from the southwest monsoon are holding overnight temperatures in Manila near seasonal norms, with official forecasts pointing to a daily minimum of 24–25 °C. Light-to-moderate winds and near-continuous low-level cloud have limited radiative cooling, keeping the mercury from falling to the 23 °C level that would require clearer skies and drier air. Model consensus shows only modest variability in the timing of heaviest rain, which explains why market-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered around 23–25 °C. Updated guidance from regional numerical weather prediction runs and any late-day clearing will be the key variables that could shift the final recorded low before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,260Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity from the southwest monsoon are holding overnight temperatures in Manila near seasonal norms, with official forecasts pointing to a daily minimum of 24–25 °C. Light-to-moderate winds and near-continuous low-level cloud have limited radiative cooling, keeping the mercury from falling to the 23 °C level that would require clearer skies and drier air. Model consensus shows only modest variability in the timing of heaviest rain, which explains why market-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered around 23–25 °C. Updated guidance from regional numerical weather prediction runs and any late-day clearing will be the key variables that could shift the final recorded low before midnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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