**High humidity, persistent cloud cover, and frequent showers are limiting nocturnal cooling in Miami on August 29, 2026, keeping the expected overnight low in the low-to-mid 80s°F.** Official National Weather Service and other forecasts indicate minimum temperatures around 81–84°F, well above the historical late-August average low of roughly 77–78°F at Miami International Airport. Elevated dew points near 77–80°F reduce the temperature drop after sunset, while east-to-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and ongoing tropical moisture from scattered to likely thunderstorms prevent stronger radiational cooling. These conditions explain why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 76–81°F (collectively over 100% when combining overlapping bins). Small differences in exact cloud timing, shower intensity, or the precise hour of the minimum can shift the recorded low by 1–2°F. Warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures and a lack of strong high-pressure subsidence further suppress cooling compared with drier historical analogs. Upcoming evening model updates and real-time observations will refine the final minimum before the market resolves.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Miami on August 29?
82-83°F 18%
84-85°F 7%
74-75°F 5%
70-71°F <1%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
7%
86°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 18%
84-85°F 7%
74-75°F 5%
70-71°F <1%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
7%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**High humidity, persistent cloud cover, and frequent showers are limiting nocturnal cooling in Miami on August 29, 2026, keeping the expected overnight low in the low-to-mid 80s°F.** Official National Weather Service and other forecasts indicate minimum temperatures around 81–84°F, well above the historical late-August average low of roughly 77–78°F at Miami International Airport. Elevated dew points near 77–80°F reduce the temperature drop after sunset, while east-to-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and ongoing tropical moisture from scattered to likely thunderstorms prevent stronger radiational cooling. These conditions explain why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 76–81°F (collectively over 100% when combining overlapping bins). Small differences in exact cloud timing, shower intensity, or the precise hour of the minimum can shift the recorded low by 1–2°F. Warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures and a lack of strong high-pressure subsidence further suppress cooling compared with drier historical analogs. Upcoming evening model updates and real-time observations will refine the final minimum before the market resolves.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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