Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate Moscow's August 30 minimum will likely fall in the 12–15°C range, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air under variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Trader balance between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer dynamics: clear skies and light winds could enhance surface cooling toward historical lows near 11°C, while increased cloudiness or stronger mixing from approaching fronts would sustain higher minima. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance highlight sensitivity to exact dew point and wind forecasts, with resolution hinging on verified 24-hour observations rather than model projections alone.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
5°C or below 90%
15°C or higher 90%
6°C 50%
14°C 50%
5°C or below
90%
6°C
50%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
28%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
50%
15°C or higher
90%
5°C or below 90%
15°C or higher 90%
6°C 50%
14°C 50%
5°C or below
90%
6°C
50%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
28%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
50%
15°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate Moscow's August 30 minimum will likely fall in the 12–15°C range, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air under variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Trader balance between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer dynamics: clear skies and light winds could enhance surface cooling toward historical lows near 11°C, while increased cloudiness or stronger mixing from approaching fronts would sustain higher minima. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance highlight sensitivity to exact dew point and wind forecasts, with resolution hinging on verified 24-hour observations rather than model projections alone.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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