Ensemble forecast models show a narrow band of possible overnight lows for Munich on September 11, keeping 9°C and 10°C as the closest market-implied outcomes at 27.5% and 27.0%. Primary drivers include variable high-pressure ridging and the timing of an approaching Atlantic front, which will determine cloud cover and the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions create genuine uncertainty in minimum temperatures, consistent with the spread across nearby probabilities. Historical mid-September averages near 10°C provide a baseline, while differing model guidance on wind direction and humidity adds further variability. Updated runs from major forecasting centers overnight should tighten the range before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Munich on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 11?
5°C or below 47%
15°C or higher 40%
10°C 28%
9°C 27%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
5°C or below
47%
6°C
2%
7°C
21%
8°C
23%
9°C
27%
10°C
28%
11°C
21%
12°C
9%
13°C
16%
14°C
16%
15°C or higher
40%
5°C or below 47%
15°C or higher 40%
10°C 28%
9°C 27%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
5°C or below
$119 Vol.
47%
6°C
$373 Vol.
2%
7°C
$13 Vol.
21%
8°C
$0 Vol.
23%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
28%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$571 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
16%
14°C
$0 Vol.
16%
15°C or higher
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models show a narrow band of possible overnight lows for Munich on September 11, keeping 9°C and 10°C as the closest market-implied outcomes at 27.5% and 27.0%. Primary drivers include variable high-pressure ridging and the timing of an approaching Atlantic front, which will determine cloud cover and the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions create genuine uncertainty in minimum temperatures, consistent with the spread across nearby probabilities. Historical mid-September averages near 10°C provide a baseline, while differing model guidance on wind direction and humidity adds further variability. Updated runs from major forecasting centers overnight should tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,076Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models show a narrow band of possible overnight lows for Munich on September 11, keeping 9°C and 10°C as the closest market-implied outcomes at 27.5% and 27.0%. Primary drivers include variable high-pressure ridging and the timing of an approaching Atlantic front, which will determine cloud cover and the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions create genuine uncertainty in minimum temperatures, consistent with the spread across nearby probabilities. Historical mid-September averages near 10°C provide a baseline, while differing model guidance on wind direction and humidity adds further variability. Updated runs from major forecasting centers overnight should tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,076Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecast models show a narrow band of possible overnight lows for Munich on September 11, keeping 9°C and 10°C as the closest market-implied outcomes at 27.5% and 27.0%. Primary drivers include variable high-pressure ridging and the timing of an approaching Atlantic front, which will determine cloud cover and the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions create genuine uncertainty in minimum temperatures, consistent with the spread across nearby probabilities. Historical mid-September averages near 10°C provide a baseline, while differing model guidance on wind direction and humidity adds further variability. Updated runs from major forecasting centers overnight should tighten the range before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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