**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and recent rainfall from a low-pressure system near the Shandong Peninsula are keeping overnight temperatures elevated in Incheon, supporting the market's strong consensus around a 24°C minimum on August 30.** Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models (including WeatherBug and Met Office) indicate a daily minimum of 22–24°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light northeast winds and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight. These conditions suppress radiational cooling, a key factor in late-summer minimums, while dew points near 21–23°C reflect the moist air mass. This aligns with climatological August averages for Incheon (mean daily minimum ~22.9°C) but sits above what clearer skies might allow. No significant cold advection or frontal passage is forecast through the period, and the implied probabilities (24°C at 68%) reflect trader recognition of these stable, humid conditions limiting downside risk to 22°C or lower. Updated model runs and official briefings through August 29–30 will be the next key inputs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
24°C 69%
22°C 14%
23°C 12%
21°C 2%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
17%
23°C
20%
24°C
69%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 69%
22°C 14%
23°C 12%
21°C 2%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
17%
23°C
20%
24°C
69%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and recent rainfall from a low-pressure system near the Shandong Peninsula are keeping overnight temperatures elevated in Incheon, supporting the market's strong consensus around a 24°C minimum on August 30.** Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models (including WeatherBug and Met Office) indicate a daily minimum of 22–24°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light northeast winds and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight. These conditions suppress radiational cooling, a key factor in late-summer minimums, while dew points near 21–23°C reflect the moist air mass. This aligns with climatological August averages for Incheon (mean daily minimum ~22.9°C) but sits above what clearer skies might allow. No significant cold advection or frontal passage is forecast through the period, and the implied probabilities (24°C at 68%) reflect trader recognition of these stable, humid conditions limiting downside risk to 22°C or lower. Updated model runs and official briefings through August 29–30 will be the next key inputs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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