Recent forecast model runs from regional meteorological agencies show considerable uncertainty in Shenzhen's overnight low for September 4, with ensemble guidance clustered near 24–25°C amid a typical early-autumn subtropical pattern of moderate humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover. Clearer skies could enhance radiative cooling and push the minimum toward 23°C or below, while increased moisture or a passing disturbance would limit overnight drops and favor readings near 25°C or higher. Historical September climatology for the Pearl River Delta places average lows in the mid-20s, but short-term variability from the East Asian monsoon trough keeps probabilities tightly bunched. Updated model outputs and official guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4?
30°C or higher 93%
27°C 90%
20°C or below 89%
23°C 89%
20°C or below
89%
21°C
72%
22°C
79%
23°C
89%
24°C
51%
25°C
47%
26°C
72%
27°C
90%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
93%
30°C or higher 93%
27°C 90%
20°C or below 89%
23°C 89%
20°C or below
89%
21°C
72%
22°C
79%
23°C
89%
24°C
51%
25°C
47%
26°C
72%
27°C
90%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from regional meteorological agencies show considerable uncertainty in Shenzhen's overnight low for September 4, with ensemble guidance clustered near 24–25°C amid a typical early-autumn subtropical pattern of moderate humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover. Clearer skies could enhance radiative cooling and push the minimum toward 23°C or below, while increased moisture or a passing disturbance would limit overnight drops and favor readings near 25°C or higher. Historical September climatology for the Pearl River Delta places average lows in the mid-20s, but short-term variability from the East Asian monsoon trough keeps probabilities tightly bunched. Updated model outputs and official guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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