Current observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies monitoring the region show overnight minimum temperatures in Shenzhen holding near 27°C, driven by persistent subtropical humidity, moderate cloud cover, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where daily lows rarely drop below this threshold absent a strong cold surge. Trader consensus at 90.5% for 27°C reflects these stable conditions and the low probability of rapid model shifts before final readings. A sudden clearing of skies or revised station data from the official network could still produce a lower reading, though such changes appear unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
27°C 99%
26°C 20%
24°C 10%
23°C 1.0%
$1,847 Vol.
$1,847 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 99%
26°C 20%
24°C 10%
23°C 1.0%
$1,847 Vol.
$1,847 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Current observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies monitoring the region show overnight minimum temperatures in Shenzhen holding near 27°C, driven by persistent subtropical humidity, moderate cloud cover, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where daily lows rarely drop below this threshold absent a strong cold surge. Trader consensus at 90.5% for 27°C reflects these stable conditions and the low probability of rapid model shifts before final readings. A sudden clearing of skies or revised station data from the official network could still produce a lower reading, though such changes appear unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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