Persistent cloud cover and showers from a broad low-pressure system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling over Taipei, anchoring the August 24 minimum near 26°C according to Central Weather Administration guidance within a 26–31°C range. This setup favors trader clustering around 26–27°C outcomes at roughly 34% each, with nearby bins at 24°C and 28°C close behind due to model spread in humidity retention and timing of any partial clearing. Historical August nocturnal lows average 25–27°C under similar monsoon patterns, underscoring why extremes below 23°C or above 29°C carry low implied probabilities. Forecasters will issue updated model runs and CWA briefings through the overnight period that could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
30°C 64%
26°C 34%
27°C 34%
28°C 33%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
30%
23°C
32%
24°C
32%
25°C
8%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
33%
29°C
6%
30°C
64%
31°C or higher
1%
30°C 64%
26°C 34%
27°C 34%
28°C 33%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$5,494 Vol.
1%
22°C
$80 Vol.
30%
23°C
$0 Vol.
32%
24°C
$0 Vol.
32%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$75 Vol.
33%
29°C
$160 Vol.
6%
30°C
$205 Vol.
64%
31°C or higher
$2,251 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and showers from a broad low-pressure system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling over Taipei, anchoring the August 24 minimum near 26°C according to Central Weather Administration guidance within a 26–31°C range. This setup favors trader clustering around 26–27°C outcomes at roughly 34% each, with nearby bins at 24°C and 28°C close behind due to model spread in humidity retention and timing of any partial clearing. Historical August nocturnal lows average 25–27°C under similar monsoon patterns, underscoring why extremes below 23°C or above 29°C carry low implied probabilities. Forecasters will issue updated model runs and CWA briefings through the overnight period that could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$8,265Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and showers from a broad low-pressure system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling over Taipei, anchoring the August 24 minimum near 26°C according to Central Weather Administration guidance within a 26–31°C range. This setup favors trader clustering around 26–27°C outcomes at roughly 34% each, with nearby bins at 24°C and 28°C close behind due to model spread in humidity retention and timing of any partial clearing. Historical August nocturnal lows average 25–27°C under similar monsoon patterns, underscoring why extremes below 23°C or above 29°C carry low implied probabilities. Forecasters will issue updated model runs and CWA briefings through the overnight period that could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,265Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and showers from a broad low-pressure system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling over Taipei, anchoring the August 24 minimum near 26°C according to Central Weather Administration guidance within a 26–31°C range. This setup favors trader clustering around 26–27°C outcomes at roughly 34% each, with nearby bins at 24°C and 28°C close behind due to model spread in humidity retention and timing of any partial clearing. Historical August nocturnal lows average 25–27°C under similar monsoon patterns, underscoring why extremes below 23°C or above 29°C carry low implied probabilities. Forecasters will issue updated model runs and CWA briefings through the overnight period that could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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