Recent forecasts from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate cooler, rainier conditions for Tokyo on September 4 driven by a persistent frontal system and moisture influx linked to distant typhoon activity. These patterns favor overnight lows near 20–22°C under cloudy skies, elevated humidity, and northerly flow, aligning with historical early-September baselines around 22°C but tempered by expected precipitation. Trader consensus reflected in the market—favoring 23°C (46%) and 24°C (33.5%)—tracks model agreement on limited radiative cooling amid widespread rain, though forecast updates from the JMA could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or intensity change.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 4?
23°C 46%
24°C 33%
22°C 20%
25°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
5%
22°C
20%
23°C
46%
24°C
33%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
23°C 46%
24°C 33%
22°C 20%
25°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C
$543 Vol.
20%
23°C
$72 Vol.
46%
24°C
$124 Vol.
33%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate cooler, rainier conditions for Tokyo on September 4 driven by a persistent frontal system and moisture influx linked to distant typhoon activity. These patterns favor overnight lows near 20–22°C under cloudy skies, elevated humidity, and northerly flow, aligning with historical early-September baselines around 22°C but tempered by expected precipitation. Trader consensus reflected in the market—favoring 23°C (46%) and 24°C (33.5%)—tracks model agreement on limited radiative cooling amid widespread rain, though forecast updates from the JMA could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or intensity change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$738Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate cooler, rainier conditions for Tokyo on September 4 driven by a persistent frontal system and moisture influx linked to distant typhoon activity. These patterns favor overnight lows near 20–22°C under cloudy skies, elevated humidity, and northerly flow, aligning with historical early-September baselines around 22°C but tempered by expected precipitation. Trader consensus reflected in the market—favoring 23°C (46%) and 24°C (33.5%)—tracks model agreement on limited radiative cooling amid widespread rain, though forecast updates from the JMA could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or intensity change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$738Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate cooler, rainier conditions for Tokyo on September 4 driven by a persistent frontal system and moisture influx linked to distant typhoon activity. These patterns favor overnight lows near 20–22°C under cloudy skies, elevated humidity, and northerly flow, aligning with historical early-September baselines around 22°C but tempered by expected precipitation. Trader consensus reflected in the market—favoring 23°C (46%) and 24°C (33.5%)—tracks model agreement on limited radiative cooling amid widespread rain, though forecast updates from the JMA could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or intensity change.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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