Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated September 17, indicate an overnight low in Warsaw near 10–12 °C on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. A cold front that crossed the region on the 17th delivered rain and a sharp drop from prior daytime peaks above 20 °C, advecting cooler maritime air that now moderates minimum temperatures. Radiative cooling overnight will be limited by cloud cover and dew points near 9–10 °C, reducing the likelihood of readings at or below 8 °C while also capping any rebound toward 15 °C or higher. Trader emphasis on the 8 °C outcome at 43 % implied probability appears to reflect residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat-island effects rather than current consensus guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
15°C or higher 50%
5°C or below 46%
8°C 41%
10°C 40%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 18, 2026
5°C or below
46%
6°C
8%
7°C
20%
8°C
41%
9°C
25%
10°C
40%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
20%
14°C
17%
15°C or higher
50%
15°C or higher 50%
5°C or below 46%
8°C 41%
10°C 40%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 18, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
46%
6°C
$0 Vol.
8%
7°C
$91 Vol.
20%
8°C
$285 Vol.
41%
9°C
$0 Vol.
25%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
17%
15°C or higher
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated September 17, indicate an overnight low in Warsaw near 10–12 °C on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. A cold front that crossed the region on the 17th delivered rain and a sharp drop from prior daytime peaks above 20 °C, advecting cooler maritime air that now moderates minimum temperatures. Radiative cooling overnight will be limited by cloud cover and dew points near 9–10 °C, reducing the likelihood of readings at or below 8 °C while also capping any rebound toward 15 °C or higher. Trader emphasis on the 8 °C outcome at 43 % implied probability appears to reflect residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat-island effects rather than current consensus guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$376Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated September 17, indicate an overnight low in Warsaw near 10–12 °C on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. A cold front that crossed the region on the 17th delivered rain and a sharp drop from prior daytime peaks above 20 °C, advecting cooler maritime air that now moderates minimum temperatures. Radiative cooling overnight will be limited by cloud cover and dew points near 9–10 °C, reducing the likelihood of readings at or below 8 °C while also capping any rebound toward 15 °C or higher. Trader emphasis on the 8 °C outcome at 43 % implied probability appears to reflect residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat-island effects rather than current consensus guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$376Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated September 17, indicate an overnight low in Warsaw near 10–12 °C on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. A cold front that crossed the region on the 17th delivered rain and a sharp drop from prior daytime peaks above 20 °C, advecting cooler maritime air that now moderates minimum temperatures. Radiative cooling overnight will be limited by cloud cover and dew points near 9–10 °C, reducing the likelihood of readings at or below 8 °C while also capping any rebound toward 15 °C or higher. Trader emphasis on the 8 °C outcome at 43 % implied probability appears to reflect residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat-island effects rather than current consensus guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong