Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Warsaw on September 17, driven by a passing low-pressure system bringing widespread rain, westerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and overnight clearing that limits radiative cooling. Historical September minima average around 10°C, providing climatological context, yet current runs show limited spread for extremes below 8°C or above 16°C. Trader consensus remains balanced between sub-7°C and 17°C+ outcomes at 42% each because short-range model updates can shift the precise overnight low by 2–3°C, while resolution hinges on official station readings. Fresh model guidance expected within 24 hours offers the next key variable for positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 17?
7°C or below 83%
17°C or higher 83%
15°C 39%
11°C 23%
7°C or below
83%
8°C
17%
9°C
18%
10°C
21%
11°C
23%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
39%
16°C
17%
17°C or higher
83%
7°C or below 83%
17°C or higher 83%
15°C 39%
11°C 23%
7°C or below
83%
8°C
17%
9°C
18%
10°C
21%
11°C
23%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
39%
16°C
17%
17°C or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Warsaw on September 17, driven by a passing low-pressure system bringing widespread rain, westerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and overnight clearing that limits radiative cooling. Historical September minima average around 10°C, providing climatological context, yet current runs show limited spread for extremes below 8°C or above 16°C. Trader consensus remains balanced between sub-7°C and 17°C+ outcomes at 42% each because short-range model updates can shift the precise overnight low by 2–3°C, while resolution hinges on official station readings. Fresh model guidance expected within 24 hours offers the next key variable for positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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