Recent MetService and international model consensus forecasts for Wellington on August 21 indicate an overnight minimum near 7–8 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, aligning closely with the long-term August climatological average low of approximately 9 °C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the central North Island region, including Wellington, assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures through the period, with no strong cold-air outbreak or radiative cooling signals in current analyses. This scientific baseline underpins the overwhelming 98 % market-implied probability for 8 °C as the daily low. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp nocturnal temperature drop below 7 °C, such as from clearer skies or a rapid southerly change, though updated model runs show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Wellington on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 21?
8°C 98%
7°C 5%
6°C <1%
4°C <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 21, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
5%
8°C
98%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
8°C 98%
7°C 5%
6°C <1%
4°C <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 21, 2026
2°C or below
$221 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$147 Vol.
1%
7°C
$141 Vol.
5%
8°C
$315 Vol.
98%
9°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
12°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model consensus forecasts for Wellington on August 21 indicate an overnight minimum near 7–8 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, aligning closely with the long-term August climatological average low of approximately 9 °C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the central North Island region, including Wellington, assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures through the period, with no strong cold-air outbreak or radiative cooling signals in current analyses. This scientific baseline underpins the overwhelming 98 % market-implied probability for 8 °C as the daily low. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp nocturnal temperature drop below 7 °C, such as from clearer skies or a rapid southerly change, though updated model runs show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,795Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model consensus forecasts for Wellington on August 21 indicate an overnight minimum near 7–8 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, aligning closely with the long-term August climatological average low of approximately 9 °C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the central North Island region, including Wellington, assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures through the period, with no strong cold-air outbreak or radiative cooling signals in current analyses. This scientific baseline underpins the overwhelming 98 % market-implied probability for 8 °C as the daily low. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp nocturnal temperature drop below 7 °C, such as from clearer skies or a rapid southerly change, though updated model runs show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,795Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and international model consensus forecasts for Wellington on August 21 indicate an overnight minimum near 7–8 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, aligning closely with the long-term August climatological average low of approximately 9 °C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the central North Island region, including Wellington, assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures through the period, with no strong cold-air outbreak or radiative cooling signals in current analyses. This scientific baseline underpins the overwhelming 98 % market-implied probability for 8 °C as the daily low. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp nocturnal temperature drop below 7 °C, such as from clearer skies or a rapid southerly change, though updated model runs show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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