Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional sources indicate a southerly wind shift and light rain on September 22 will advect cooler maritime air into Wellington, driving the lowest temperature into the 6–9 °C range. Radiative cooling overnight after precipitation clears, combined with moderate southerly winds that limit boundary-layer mixing, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 7–8 °C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in frontal timing and residual cloud cover, which can alter minimum readings by 1–2 °C. Historical September minima average near 9.6 °C, so this pattern reflects a modest cold outbreak typical of spring transitions. Updated model runs and official observations on the day will determine final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Wellington on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 22?
11°C 39%
6°C 38%
10°C 38%
8°C 32%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 22, 2026
4°C or below
1%
5°C
4%
6°C
38%
7°C
20%
8°C
32%
9°C
28%
10°C
38%
11°C
39%
12°C
4%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
3%
11°C 39%
6°C 38%
10°C 38%
8°C 32%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 22, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
5°C
$0 Vol.
4%
6°C
$0 Vol.
38%
7°C
$7 Vol.
20%
8°C
$0 Vol.
32%
9°C
$6 Vol.
28%
10°C
$0 Vol.
38%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
1%
14°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional sources indicate a southerly wind shift and light rain on September 22 will advect cooler maritime air into Wellington, driving the lowest temperature into the 6–9 °C range. Radiative cooling overnight after precipitation clears, combined with moderate southerly winds that limit boundary-layer mixing, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 7–8 °C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in frontal timing and residual cloud cover, which can alter minimum readings by 1–2 °C. Historical September minima average near 9.6 °C, so this pattern reflects a modest cold outbreak typical of spring transitions. Updated model runs and official observations on the day will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$13Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional sources indicate a southerly wind shift and light rain on September 22 will advect cooler maritime air into Wellington, driving the lowest temperature into the 6–9 °C range. Radiative cooling overnight after precipitation clears, combined with moderate southerly winds that limit boundary-layer mixing, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 7–8 °C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in frontal timing and residual cloud cover, which can alter minimum readings by 1–2 °C. Historical September minima average near 9.6 °C, so this pattern reflects a modest cold outbreak typical of spring transitions. Updated model runs and official observations on the day will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional sources indicate a southerly wind shift and light rain on September 22 will advect cooler maritime air into Wellington, driving the lowest temperature into the 6–9 °C range. Radiative cooling overnight after precipitation clears, combined with moderate southerly winds that limit boundary-layer mixing, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 7–8 °C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in frontal timing and residual cloud cover, which can alter minimum readings by 1–2 °C. Historical September minima average near 9.6 °C, so this pattern reflects a modest cold outbreak typical of spring transitions. Updated model runs and official observations on the day will determine final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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