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Politika·Halalan Sa US

MA-09 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MA-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Halalan Sa US

MA-09 Democratic Primary Winner

BAGO
Polymarket
BAGO

Bill Keating

$193 Vol.

95%

Craig Swallow

$125 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Bill Keating holds a commanding lead in the September 1 Democratic primary for Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District due to his established name recognition, prior unopposed primaries, and consistent general-election victories since 2010. Challenger Craig Swallow, an activist and co-leader of Indivisible South Coast New England, filed earlier in 2026 but has not generated notable shifts in trader consensus, reflecting limited visibility or resources relative to the sitting representative. The primary occurs soon after the August 25 filing deadline, leaving little time for late developments. Scenarios that could narrow Keating's position include a major scandal, health event, or unexpected surge in endorsements and funding for Swallow, though historical patterns in similar low-profile Massachusetts House primaries favor the incumbent. Trader pricing aligns with these structural advantages.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$318
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 27, 2026, 7:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Bill Keating holds a commanding lead in the September 1 Democratic primary for Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District due to his established name recognition, prior unopposed primaries, and consistent general-election victories since 2010. Challenger Craig Swallow, an activist and co-leader of Indivisible South Coast New England, filed earlier in 2026 but has not generated notable shifts in trader consensus, reflecting limited visibility or resources relative to the sitting representative. The primary occurs soon after the August 25 filing deadline, leaving little time for late developments. Scenarios that could narrow Keating's position include a major scandal, health event, or unexpected surge in endorsements and funding for Swallow, though historical patterns in similar low-profile Massachusetts House primaries favor the incumbent. Trader pricing aligns with these structural advantages.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$318
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 27, 2026, 7:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "MA-09 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Bill Keating" sa 95%, sinusundan ng "Craig Swallow" sa 6%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 95¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 95% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "MA-09 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 27, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "MA-09 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "MA-09 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Bill Keating" sa 95%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 95% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Craig Swallow" sa 6%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "MA-09 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.