Michoacán’s 2027 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented more than ten months before the June vote, with no candidate securing a party nomination or establishing a dominant lead. Trader consensus assigns modest probabilities across more than two dozen contenders from Morena and opposition parties, reflecting early preference polls that show several figures clustered in the low-to-mid 20s to low 30s. Internal Morena selection processes, coalition negotiations involving PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano, and persistent local security concerns continue to limit consolidation. Clear separation is expected once nominations finalize and alliances form, events that could rapidly shift implied probabilities in the coming months.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAlfonso Martínez Alcázar 50%
Carlos Herrera Tello 34%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano 32%
Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz 27%

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar
50%

Carlos Herrera Tello
34%

Fabiola Alanís Sámano
32%

Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz
27%

Marko Cortés Mendoza
24%

Raúl Morón Orozco
14%

Esteban González Nava
10%

Gabriela Molina Aguilar
7%

Ernesto Núñez Aguilar
7%

Grecia Quiroz
6%

Daniela de los Santos
6%

Víctor Manuel Manríquez
6%

Edna Martínez Nambo
6%

Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes
6%

Carlos Torres Piña
6%

Germán Martínez Cázares
6%

Celeste Ascencio Ortega
5%

Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza
5%

Adriana Hernández Íñiguez
2%

Gladyz Butanda Macías
32%

Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna
34%

Guillermo Valencia Reyes
32%
Alfonso Martínez Alcázar 50%
Carlos Herrera Tello 34%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano 32%
Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz 27%

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar
50%

Carlos Herrera Tello
34%

Fabiola Alanís Sámano
32%

Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz
27%

Marko Cortés Mendoza
24%

Raúl Morón Orozco
14%

Esteban González Nava
10%

Gabriela Molina Aguilar
7%

Ernesto Núñez Aguilar
7%

Grecia Quiroz
6%

Daniela de los Santos
6%

Víctor Manuel Manríquez
6%

Edna Martínez Nambo
6%

Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes
6%

Carlos Torres Piña
6%

Germán Martínez Cázares
6%

Celeste Ascencio Ortega
5%

Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza
5%

Adriana Hernández Íñiguez
2%

Gladyz Butanda Macías
32%

Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna
34%

Guillermo Valencia Reyes
32%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Michoacán’s 2027 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented more than ten months before the June vote, with no candidate securing a party nomination or establishing a dominant lead. Trader consensus assigns modest probabilities across more than two dozen contenders from Morena and opposition parties, reflecting early preference polls that show several figures clustered in the low-to-mid 20s to low 30s. Internal Morena selection processes, coalition negotiations involving PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano, and persistent local security concerns continue to limit consolidation. Clear separation is expected once nominations finalize and alliances form, events that could rapidly shift implied probabilities in the coming months.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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