Missouri’s 5th congressional district remains under the pre-2025 boundaries for the November 2026 general election following a September 3 state Supreme Court ruling that allows a veto referendum on the Republican-drawn map and directs use of the prior lines. Those boundaries preserve a Democratic lean of roughly D+12, bolstering longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver, who won his August 4 primary unopposed. Republican nominee Rick Brattin, a state senator, emerged from a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in the unchanged district. Traders have priced this legal and map outcome as the dominant factor, assigning the Democratic Party an implied probability near 80 percent while leaving limited room for late shifts from turnout or unforeseen developments before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
$19,322 Vol.
$19,322 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
80%
Republican Party
19%
$19,322 Vol.
$19,322 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,446 Vol.
80%
Republican Party
$12,876 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 5th congressional district remains under the pre-2025 boundaries for the November 2026 general election following a September 3 state Supreme Court ruling that allows a veto referendum on the Republican-drawn map and directs use of the prior lines. Those boundaries preserve a Democratic lean of roughly D+12, bolstering longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver, who won his August 4 primary unopposed. Republican nominee Rick Brattin, a state senator, emerged from a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in the unchanged district. Traders have priced this legal and map outcome as the dominant factor, assigning the Democratic Party an implied probability near 80 percent while leaving limited room for late shifts from turnout or unforeseen developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$19,322Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 5th congressional district remains under the pre-2025 boundaries for the November 2026 general election following a September 3 state Supreme Court ruling that allows a veto referendum on the Republican-drawn map and directs use of the prior lines. Those boundaries preserve a Democratic lean of roughly D+12, bolstering longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver, who won his August 4 primary unopposed. Republican nominee Rick Brattin, a state senator, emerged from a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in the unchanged district. Traders have priced this legal and map outcome as the dominant factor, assigning the Democratic Party an implied probability near 80 percent while leaving limited room for late shifts from turnout or unforeseen developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,322Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 5th congressional district remains under the pre-2025 boundaries for the November 2026 general election following a September 3 state Supreme Court ruling that allows a veto referendum on the Republican-drawn map and directs use of the prior lines. Those boundaries preserve a Democratic lean of roughly D+12, bolstering longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver, who won his August 4 primary unopposed. Republican nominee Rick Brattin, a state senator, emerged from a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in the unchanged district. Traders have priced this legal and map outcome as the dominant factor, assigning the Democratic Party an implied probability near 80 percent while leaving limited room for late shifts from turnout or unforeseen developments before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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