Skip to main content
icon for Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -4 na Lugar
Halalan·Peru

Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -4 na Lugar

icon for Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -4 na Lugar
Halalan·Peru

Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -4 na Lugar

Jorge Nieto 100.0%

Keiko Fujimori <1%

Carlos Álvarez <1%

Alfonso López Chau <1%

Polymarket

$475,801 Vol.

Jorge Nieto 100.0%

Keiko Fujimori <1%

Carlos Álvarez <1%

Alfonso López Chau <1%

Polymarket

$475,801 Vol.

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$2,042 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$5,121 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$9,067 Vol.

Hindi

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$856 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$1,116 Vol.

Hindi

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$6,181 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$228,239 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$3,676 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$2,679 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$2,795 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$60,466 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$52,751 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$3,346 Vol.

Hindi

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$4,811 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$3,610 Vol.

Hindi

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$4,353 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$7,705 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$4,206 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$3,768 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$3,658 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$4,351 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$56,767 Vol.

Oo

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$4,238 Vol.

Hindi

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Jorge Nieto's commanding position in the Peru presidential election first-round 4th-place market stems from the April 12, 2026, vote tallies showing him finishing behind Keiko Fujimori, Roberto Sánchez, and Rafael López Aliaga in a field of 35 candidates that produced extreme fragmentation. As former defense and culture minister with a centrist profile under the Partido del Buen Gobierno, Nieto secured consistent mid-teens support in pre-election polling and early counts, outpacing other contenders through established name recognition and policy emphasis on governance reforms. With over 99% of ballots now tallied by the National Office of Electoral Processes, the outcome appears locked barring any unforeseen recount adjustments or legal challenges to the final certification expected in the coming days.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$475,801
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Na-propose ang outcome: Hindi

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Hindi

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Jorge Nieto's commanding position in the Peru presidential election first-round 4th-place market stems from the April 12, 2026, vote tallies showing him finishing behind Keiko Fujimori, Roberto Sánchez, and Rafael López Aliaga in a field of 35 candidates that produced extreme fragmentation. As former defense and culture minister with a centrist profile under the Partido del Buen Gobierno, Nieto secured consistent mid-teens support in pre-election polling and early counts, outpacing other contenders through established name recognition and policy emphasis on governance reforms. With over 99% of ballots now tallied by the National Office of Electoral Processes, the outcome appears locked barring any unforeseen recount adjustments or legal challenges to the final certification expected in the coming days.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$475,801
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Na-propose ang outcome: Hindi

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Hindi

Kaugnay

icon for Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?

Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?

26%
icon for Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?

Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?

<1%
icon for Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

35%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -4 na Lugar" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 23 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Jorge Nieto" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Keiko Fujimori" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -4 na Lugar" ay naka-generate ng $475.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 20, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -4 na Lugar," i-browse ang 23 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -4 na Lugar" ay "Jorge Nieto" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Keiko Fujimori" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -4 na Lugar" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.