Strava’s confidential IPO filing in early 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 private round, anchors trader expectations around a modest 2–3 billion closing market cap as the leading outcome. Revenue growth of roughly 50 percent year-over-year and an expanding user base above 150 million support potential upside into the 3–4 billion range if subscription conversion accelerates, yet fitness-app multiples remain sensitive to broader consumer-tech sentiment and competition. Key swing factors include final IPO pricing, S-1 disclosures on profitability and ARR trajectory, and market conditions through any 2026 debut, while the low probability of no listing before 2028 reflects the company’s clear path to public markets.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateStrava IPO Closing Market Cap
Strava IPO Closing Market Cap
3B–4B 29.9%
10B–15B 5.8%
4B–5B 5%
No IPO before 2028 4.5%
$88,124 Vol.
$88,124 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<2B
1%
2B–3B
44%
3B–4B
30%
4B–5B
5%
5B–7B
1%
7B–10B
1%
10B–15B
6%
15B+
1%
No IPO before 2028
4%
3B–4B 29.9%
10B–15B 5.8%
4B–5B 5%
No IPO before 2028 4.5%
$88,124 Vol.
$88,124 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<2B
$842 Vol.
1%
2B–3B
$54,294 Vol.
44%
3B–4B
$26,312 Vol.
30%
4B–5B
$1,228 Vol.
5%
5B–7B
$897 Vol.
1%
7B–10B
$1,000 Vol.
1%
10B–15B
$1,628 Vol.
6%
15B+
$1,310 Vol.
1%
No IPO before 2028
$614 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential IPO filing in early 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 private round, anchors trader expectations around a modest 2–3 billion closing market cap as the leading outcome. Revenue growth of roughly 50 percent year-over-year and an expanding user base above 150 million support potential upside into the 3–4 billion range if subscription conversion accelerates, yet fitness-app multiples remain sensitive to broader consumer-tech sentiment and competition. Key swing factors include final IPO pricing, S-1 disclosures on profitability and ARR trajectory, and market conditions through any 2026 debut, while the low probability of no listing before 2028 reflects the company’s clear path to public markets.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$88,124Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential IPO filing in early 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 private round, anchors trader expectations around a modest 2–3 billion closing market cap as the leading outcome. Revenue growth of roughly 50 percent year-over-year and an expanding user base above 150 million support potential upside into the 3–4 billion range if subscription conversion accelerates, yet fitness-app multiples remain sensitive to broader consumer-tech sentiment and competition. Key swing factors include final IPO pricing, S-1 disclosures on profitability and ARR trajectory, and market conditions through any 2026 debut, while the low probability of no listing before 2028 reflects the company’s clear path to public markets.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$88,124Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strava’s confidential IPO filing in early 2026, following its $2.2 billion May 2025 private round, anchors trader expectations around a modest 2–3 billion closing market cap as the leading outcome. Revenue growth of roughly 50 percent year-over-year and an expanding user base above 150 million support potential upside into the 3–4 billion range if subscription conversion accelerates, yet fitness-app multiples remain sensitive to broader consumer-tech sentiment and competition. Key swing factors include final IPO pricing, S-1 disclosures on profitability and ARR trajectory, and market conditions through any 2026 debut, while the low probability of no listing before 2028 reflects the company’s clear path to public markets.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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