Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 77% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled momentum since the company's confidential S-1 filing in January amid softening tech valuations and struggling public peers like social platforms. Reports of delays surfaced in March as bankers cited market volatility and profitability challenges—Discord's estimated $600–900 million annual recurring revenue supports only modest growth multiples, capping upside at sub-$15 billion market cap (13.1% odds) versus its 2021 $15 billion private valuation. Higher brackets like 30B+ (1.3%) face steep barriers from competition and margin pressures. Watch for public filing or roadshow signals, with equity windows reopening per recent board deliberations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026 77%
<15B 16.1%
15–20B 3.8%
25–30B 1.3%
$870,699 Vol.
$870,699 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<15B
12%
15–20B
4%
20–25B
1%
25–30B
1%
30B+
1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
77%
No IPO by June 30, 2026 77%
<15B 16.1%
15–20B 3.8%
25–30B 1.3%
$870,699 Vol.
$870,699 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<15B
$296,513 Vol.
12%
15–20B
$107,187 Vol.
4%
20–25B
$73,620 Vol.
1%
25–30B
$105,568 Vol.
1%
30B+
$98,233 Vol.
1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
$189,578 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 77% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled momentum since the company's confidential S-1 filing in January amid softening tech valuations and struggling public peers like social platforms. Reports of delays surfaced in March as bankers cited market volatility and profitability challenges—Discord's estimated $600–900 million annual recurring revenue supports only modest growth multiples, capping upside at sub-$15 billion market cap (13.1% odds) versus its 2021 $15 billion private valuation. Higher brackets like 30B+ (1.3%) face steep barriers from competition and margin pressures. Watch for public filing or roadshow signals, with equity windows reopening per recent board deliberations.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$870,699Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 77% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled momentum since the company's confidential S-1 filing in January amid softening tech valuations and struggling public peers like social platforms. Reports of delays surfaced in March as bankers cited market volatility and profitability challenges—Discord's estimated $600–900 million annual recurring revenue supports only modest growth multiples, capping upside at sub-$15 billion market cap (13.1% odds) versus its 2021 $15 billion private valuation. Higher brackets like 30B+ (1.3%) face steep barriers from competition and margin pressures. Watch for public filing or roadshow signals, with equity windows reopening per recent board deliberations.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$870,699Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 77% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled momentum since the company's confidential S-1 filing in January amid softening tech valuations and struggling public peers like social platforms. Reports of delays surfaced in March as bankers cited market volatility and profitability challenges—Discord's estimated $600–900 million annual recurring revenue supports only modest growth multiples, capping upside at sub-$15 billion market cap (13.1% odds) versus its 2021 $15 billion private valuation. Higher brackets like 30B+ (1.3%) face steep barriers from competition and margin pressures. Watch for public filing or roadshow signals, with equity windows reopening per recent board deliberations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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