Databricks' rapid revenue expansion to over $7 billion in annualized run-rate with more than 80% year-over-year growth, alongside its latest private valuation of $190 billion following an August 2026 funding round, anchors trader sentiment in the $150-250 billion IPO market-cap range. The company's positive free cash flow and profitability differentiate it from unprofitable AI peers, supporting premium multiples near 27 times revenue, yet CEO comments on avoiding a crowded 2026 IPO calendar introduce timing uncertainty reflected in the 21% probability of no listing by end-2027. Key swing factors include 2027 market conditions, further ARR acceleration, and execution on AI products amid margin pressure from agentic workloads.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDatabricks IPO Closing Market Cap
$200B-$250B 97%
$250B-$300B 97%
$300B-$350B 97%
$350B-$400B 97%
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
97%
$250B-$300B
97%
$300B-$350B
97%
$350B-$400B
97%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
21%
$200B-$250B 97%
$250B-$300B 97%
$300B-$350B 97%
$350B-$400B 97%
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
97%
$250B-$300B
97%
$300B-$350B
97%
$350B-$400B
97%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
21%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' rapid revenue expansion to over $7 billion in annualized run-rate with more than 80% year-over-year growth, alongside its latest private valuation of $190 billion following an August 2026 funding round, anchors trader sentiment in the $150-250 billion IPO market-cap range. The company's positive free cash flow and profitability differentiate it from unprofitable AI peers, supporting premium multiples near 27 times revenue, yet CEO comments on avoiding a crowded 2026 IPO calendar introduce timing uncertainty reflected in the 21% probability of no listing by end-2027. Key swing factors include 2027 market conditions, further ARR acceleration, and execution on AI products amid margin pressure from agentic workloads.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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