Databricks’ recent private funding rounds at $188–190 billion valuations, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion with over 80% year-over-year growth and adjusted cash-flow positivity, anchor trader sentiment for its eventual IPO closing market cap. CEO comments deferring a 2026 listing amid competing offerings from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic have reinforced expectations for a 2027 debut, while the company’s expanding AI governance and agent products differentiate it from peers like Snowflake. With implied probabilities clustered near 48% across $200–300 billion buckets and only 21.5% on no IPO by end-2027, markets reflect uncertainty over public multiples at 30x-plus revenue and broader equity conditions rather than any near-term resolution catalyst.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDatabricks IPO Closing Market Cap
$200B-$250B 99%
$250B-$300B 99%
$350B-$400B 99%
$300B-$350B 98%
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
99%
$250B-$300B
99%
$300B-$350B
98%
$350B-$400B
99%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
22%
$200B-$250B 99%
$250B-$300B 99%
$350B-$400B 99%
$300B-$350B 98%
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
99%
$250B-$300B
99%
$300B-$350B
98%
$350B-$400B
99%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
22%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks’ recent private funding rounds at $188–190 billion valuations, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion with over 80% year-over-year growth and adjusted cash-flow positivity, anchor trader sentiment for its eventual IPO closing market cap. CEO comments deferring a 2026 listing amid competing offerings from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic have reinforced expectations for a 2027 debut, while the company’s expanding AI governance and agent products differentiate it from peers like Snowflake. With implied probabilities clustered near 48% across $200–300 billion buckets and only 21.5% on no IPO by end-2027, markets reflect uncertainty over public multiples at 30x-plus revenue and broader equity conditions rather than any near-term resolution catalyst.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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