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Teknolohiya·Big Tech

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

icon for Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?
Teknolohiya·Big Tech

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Up

88% tsansa
Polymarket

$25,972 Vol.

Up

88% tsansa
Polymarket

$25,972 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tech layoffs in 2026 have already exceeded 2025’s full-year total of roughly 123,000 roles, with trackers like Layoffs.fyi reporting over 123,000 cuts across hundreds of firms by early September and broader estimates reaching 170,000+. Artificial intelligence drives the consensus, as companies including Oracle, Meta, Amazon, Dell, and Microsoft cite AI automation, efficiency gains, and reallocation of budgets toward model development and data-center infrastructure to justify reductions. This restructuring—often framed as creating “AI-native” operations—has produced faster monthly paces than 2025, including a record May, while firms simultaneously announce multi-billion-dollar AI capex plans. With four months remaining and no slowdown signaled, trader sentiment heavily favors an “up” outcome.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$25,972
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 28, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tech layoffs in 2026 have already exceeded 2025’s full-year total of roughly 123,000 roles, with trackers like Layoffs.fyi reporting over 123,000 cuts across hundreds of firms by early September and broader estimates reaching 170,000+. Artificial intelligence drives the consensus, as companies including Oracle, Meta, Amazon, Dell, and Microsoft cite AI automation, efficiency gains, and reallocation of budgets toward model development and data-center infrastructure to justify reductions. This restructuring—often framed as creating “AI-native” operations—has produced faster monthly paces than 2025, including a record May, while firms simultaneously announce multi-billion-dollar AI capex plans. With four months remaining and no slowdown signaled, trader sentiment heavily favors an “up” outcome.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$25,972
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 28, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" ay isang araw-araw prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares kung ang presyo ng Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? ay magtatapos na mas mataas ("Up") o mas mababa ("Down") kaysa sa opening price nito sa loob ng araw-araw window na tinukoy sa titulo. Ang kasalukuyang market probability ay 85% para sa "Up." Ang presyong 85% ay nangangahulugang kolektibong binibigyan ng market ng 85% na tsansa ang outcome na iyon. Nag-a-update ang mga presyo sa real-time habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa live na mga pagbabago ng presyo ng Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay maaaring i-redeem ng $1 bawat isa kapag nag-resolve ang market.

Sa ngayon, ang "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" ay naka-generate ng $26K sa kabuuang trading volume. Ang mga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? Up or Down market ay umaakit ng mga aktibong trader na tumutugon sa live price movements sa real time — ang level na ito ng activity ay tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang Up/Down odds ay informed ng malalim na pool ng mga kalahok sa market. Maaari mong subaybayan ang mga live na presyo at maglagay ng trade direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?," magdesisyon kung naniniwala ka na ang presyo ng Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? sa tanghali ET ng February 27 ay magiging mas mataas ("Up") o mas mababa ("Down") kaysa sa presyo ng Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? sa tanghali ET ng March 20. Bumili ng "Up" kung sa tingin mo tataas ang presyo araw-araw, o "Down" kung sa tingin mo bababa. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome sa resolution, nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1.00. Kung mali, ang mga share ay nagkakahalaga ng $0.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" ay 85% para sa "Up," na nangangahulugang ang Polymarket crowd ay kasalukuyang nagbibigay ng 85% na tsansa na ang presyo ng Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? ay magtatapos na up sa araw-araw window na ito. Ang mga odds na ito ay nag-a-update sa real-time habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa live na price data ng Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?. Sa buong araw, ang odds ay sumasalamin sa nagbabagong sentiment habang nagbubukas ang price action ng araw. Bumalik nang madalas o mag-trade ngayon bago magsara ang window.

Ang "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" market ay nire-resolve batay sa paghahambing ng presyo ng Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? sa tanghali ET ng February 27 kumpara sa tanghali ET ng March 20, gamit ang Binance TECH-LAYOFFS/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. Kung mas mataas ang presyo sa February 27 sa tanghali, ang outcome ay "Up"; kung mas mababa, "Down"; kung pantay, ang market ay nire-resolve 50-50. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria at data source sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito.