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Politika·Senado Ng Texas

Pagtutugma ng Halalan sa Senado ng Texas

Market icon
Politika·Senado Ng Texas

Pagtutugma ng Halalan sa Senado ng Texas

Talarico & Paxton 59%

Talarico & Cornyn 40%

Crockett & Cornyn <1%

Other <1%

Polymarket

$670,175 Vol.

Talarico & Paxton 59%

Talarico & Cornyn 40%

Crockett & Cornyn <1%

Other <1%

Polymarket

$670,175 Vol.

Talarico & Paxton

$251,373 Vol.

59%

Talarico & Cornyn

$178,670 Vol.

40%

Crockett & Cornyn

$64,298 Vol.

1%

Other

$26,474 Vol.

1%

Crockett & Paxton

$104,197 Vol.

<1%

Talarico & Hunt

$22,572 Vol.

<1%

Crockett & Hunt

$22,592 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas' U.S. Senate seat after winning the March 3 primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as the general election challenger to the GOP runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton. A Texas Public Opinion Research poll released April 17 shows Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-40% ahead of the May runoff, even if President Trump endorses Cornyn, fueling trader consensus at 59% for a Talarico-Paxton matchup versus 39% for Talarico-Cornyn. Talarico's record Q1 fundraising haul of $27 million bolsters his campaign, while recent surveys indicate he leads both Republicans in hypothetical generals amid GOP primary divisions. The May runoff remains pivotal for determining the nominees.

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.

This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.

This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$670,175
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas' U.S. Senate seat after winning the March 3 primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as the general election challenger to the GOP runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton. A Texas Public Opinion Research poll released April 17 shows Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-40% ahead of the May runoff, even if President Trump endorses Cornyn, fueling trader consensus at 59% for a Talarico-Paxton matchup versus 39% for Talarico-Cornyn. Talarico's record Q1 fundraising haul of $27 million bolsters his campaign, while recent surveys indicate he leads both Republicans in hypothetical generals amid GOP primary divisions. The May runoff remains pivotal for determining the nominees.

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.

This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.

This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$670,175
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Pagtutugma ng Halalan sa Senado ng Texas" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Talarico & Paxton" sa 59%, sinusundan ng "Talarico & Cornyn" sa 40%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 59¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 59% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Pagtutugma ng Halalan sa Senado ng Texas" ay naka-generate ng $670.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 19, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Pagtutugma ng Halalan sa Senado ng Texas," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Pagtutugma ng Halalan sa Senado ng Texas" ay "Talarico & Paxton" sa 59%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 59% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Talarico & Cornyn" sa 40%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Pagtutugma ng Halalan sa Senado ng Texas" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.