The House Ethics Committee launched an investigation into Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) on March 4 over allegations of sexual misconduct with a former staffer who died by suicide, prompting his withdrawal from a May primary runoff. New reports emerged April 6 claiming he sent explicit texts to a second campaign staffer, intensifying bipartisan calls for resignation and leading to his April 14 announcement to step down. No DOJ or FBI criminal probe has been confirmed, but traders reflect 61% implied probability of formal charges by June 30 amid speculation the ethics panel could refer matters for prosecution or prompt related legal actions, underscoring uncertainty in such cases.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBAGO
BAGO
Jun 30, 2026
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BAGO
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The House Ethics Committee launched an investigation into Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) on March 4 over allegations of sexual misconduct with a former staffer who died by suicide, prompting his withdrawal from a May primary runoff. New reports emerged April 6 claiming he sent explicit texts to a second campaign staffer, intensifying bipartisan calls for resignation and leading to his April 14 announcement to step down. No DOJ or FBI criminal probe has been confirmed, but traders reflect 61% implied probability of formal charges by June 30 amid speculation the ethics panel could refer matters for prosecution or prompt related legal actions, underscoring uncertainty in such cases.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$6,100Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The House Ethics Committee launched an investigation into Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) on March 4 over allegations of sexual misconduct with a former staffer who died by suicide, prompting his withdrawal from a May primary runoff. New reports emerged April 6 claiming he sent explicit texts to a second campaign staffer, intensifying bipartisan calls for resignation and leading to his April 14 announcement to step down. No DOJ or FBI criminal probe has been confirmed, but traders reflect 61% implied probability of formal charges by June 30 amid speculation the ethics panel could refer matters for prosecution or prompt related legal actions, underscoring uncertainty in such cases.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,100Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The House Ethics Committee launched an investigation into Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) on March 4 over allegations of sexual misconduct with a former staffer who died by suicide, prompting his withdrawal from a May primary runoff. New reports emerged April 6 claiming he sent explicit texts to a second campaign staffer, intensifying bipartisan calls for resignation and leading to his April 14 announcement to step down. No DOJ or FBI criminal probe has been confirmed, but traders reflect 61% implied probability of formal charges by June 30 amid speculation the ethics panel could refer matters for prosecution or prompt related legal actions, underscoring uncertainty in such cases.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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